PUBLIC VIEWPOINTS

John Schulman

Interview participant ·

1 interviews · 3 viewpoints · 1 topics

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AI research

Generalization is difficult to predict

John Schulman says the field depends heavily on generalization and that it is difficult to predict when generalization, including out-of-distribution generalization, will occur.

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Original excerpt

The whole field relies a lot on generalization and it’s very hard to predict when you’re going to get generalization, or when you’re going to get some kind of out-of-distribution generalization
AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement

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Open the episode and seek to 9:42.

AI research

Research methods may have substantial room to improve

John Schulman suggests that clever small-scale experiments could support theories that generalize to larger experiments. He expects research methods to be far from their ceiling.

Supporting evidence

Original excerpt

If you think hard enough, you probably could have expected some of these things beforehand. There is probably some very clever way to do a small-scale experiment that’ll let you build the theory that then will generalize to the large-scale experiment. So I would expect that we’re nowhere near the ceiling of how well you can do research
AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement

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Open the episode and seek to 11:34.

AI research

Distillation depends on a realistic prompt distribution

John Schulman says a realistic prompt distribution can help a distilled model match a larger model. He contrasts this with easily verifiable tasks, which may produce strong benchmark results but weaker performance across a broader distribution.

Supporting evidence

Original excerpt

If you have a really good realistic prompt distribution for distillation, you can match the big model really well. But if you only have this distribution of easily verifiable tasks, then you can match the big model on all the benchmarks, but you do worse on this broader distribution
AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement

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Open the episode and seek to 26:48.

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