Generalization is difficult to predict
John Schulman says the field depends heavily on generalization and that it is difficult to predict when generalization, including out-of-distribution generalization, will occur.
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The whole field relies a lot on generalization and it’s very hard to predict when you’re going to get generalization, or when you’re going to get some kind of out-of-distribution generalizationAI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement
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